Monday, September 14, 2015

Five Stages of an Impending Ice Age

Now you might wonder what carbon emissions / greenhouse gases / clean air has to do with Ice Ages, so hold on to your hats boys and girls because we're going to go through the Five Stages of an Impending Ice Age - and discuss how CO2 in the atmosphere actually goes up during an Ice Age.

Stage #1. Winters start to become longer and harsher - often with cold air being driven further towards the equator and cold records around the globe being shattered.

Stage #2. More Cloud Formation = More Sunlight Reflected. If only stage #1 happens it would really only be a minor case of climate change. Colder winters and only minor changes in glacier formation. However if cloud formation is increased it can kickstart a cooling trend as more sunlight is reflected and the earth gets gradually colder.

Cairo, Egypt, Dec. 2013. Snow for the first time in 112 years!
Stage #3. Windstorms becoming Stronger - Thanks to the larger temperature differences between the polar regions and the equators, wind will actually become stronger and faster. This means more windstorms, more tornadoes, more hurricanes and more typhoons. Windstorms can carry vast amounts of cold air to regions that normally don't get cold temperatures, resulting in blizzards in Egypt, Texas, Brazil and other similar events.

Stage #4. More Volcanic Events - As more glaciers build in the polar regions this places more pressure on the earth's crust in those regions and destabilizes the earth's crust in other regions. Think of it like squeezing an egg - if you squeeze hard enough cracks will form in the egg around the equator and the egg will shatter. In the case of the earth the egg is already broken and extra pressure on the polar regions will cause earthquakes and volcanic events. The danger of this is that it puts more particulate matter into the atmosphere and this in turn adds to extra cloud formation. In the case of super-volcanoes, they can easily kickstart an Ice Age all by themselves due to the sheer amount of ash they can spew into the atmosphere. The earth has 10 major super-volcanoes and 21 lesser super-volcanoes, but it only takes any 1 of them to erupt to effect the earth's climate. Volcanoes can also add anti-greenhouse gases (known as coolants) to the atmosphere, making the earth cool down even more.


Stage #5. Redistribution of Water Vapour into Polar Ice - Thanks to the wind and extreme cold of the polar regions, any water vapour passing near the poles will fall to earth as snow and collect in glaciers. Global sea levels will drop, glaciers will grow, the abundance of snow will reflect more light (and heat) back out into space, and this will create runaway global cooling.



During the past year scientists - especially solar physicists and scientists who study "space weather" - have started warning about an impending Mini Ice Age that will be similar to the Maunder Minimum that happened during the 1600s.



Every 400 years approximately the sun goes through a "grand solar minimum" that sparks a Mini Ice Age and we started seeing the first signs of it in 2013 - the same year it snowed in Egypt.


In the past 65 years we experienced several things:

#1. Global Warming during the 1950s, 1970s and 1980s, as part of the Modern Maximum - a series of stronger than usual solar maximum periods, which called into question whether it was really greenhouse gases heating the planet or an extra warm period of the sun - or a combination of both.

#2. Brief Global Cooling in the late 1960s / early 1970s. This coincided with a brief down tick in the sun's solar production.

#3. The Global Warming Pause - starting in 1993 and continuing until 2004 the earth experienced a plateau of global warming, wherein global temperatures maintained a relative constant. Scientists at the time were unable to explain the cause of the Global Warming Pause. Solar physicists however pointed to the fact that the sun began to weaken during this time period.

#4. Global Cooling - Since 2005 the earth has actually started to experience global cooling, with the global average temperature (GAT) dropping regularly. In 2006 this sudden change alarmed the IPCC who started falsifying or "adjusting" their climate numbers.

#5. Confusing Climate Change - Oddly enough the climate change weather events we have been taking note of most is often events that are colder than normal, not warmer. This presents a mixed message on what is actually happening. Politicians claiming it is global warming while we actually see global cooling events. This confusion has resulted in allegations of the lack of scientific integrity on the part of the IPCC, who admit that they have been "adjusting" their temperature data since 2006 in an effort to make the earth seem warmer than it really is.

#6. Remarkable Global Cooling Events - below is just a sampling of recent climate change weather events.

Snow in Egypt, December 2013 - the first snow in that country in 112 years.

Blizzards in Texas and other southern states in the USA, Winter 2015.

Snow in Hawaii, July 2015 - It is not unheard of for Hawaii's mountains / volcanoes to receive snow during the winter, but in the middle of July this is quite unusual. The snowstorm came all the way from the Antarctica.

#7. Stronger Polar Vortexes - You probably never even heard of a Polar Vortex before two years ago. Well prepare to hear a lot more about them in the future. Polar Vortexes are a ribbon of cold wind that circle the polar regions of the earth, both the Arctic and Antarctica. The stronger winters during 2013, 2014 and 2015 have resulted in a 40% increase in summer ice cover on the Arctic Ocean - this results in more sunlight being reflected back into space, and a stronger Polar Vortex which brings more cold air further south - causing blizzards as far south as Texas.




Note - This doesn't mean that greenhouse gases aren't still having an effect. But it is a matter of sheer size. The sun is 1,300,000 times the size of the earth and sunlight on average gives the earth 1366 watts per square meter. If that sunlight goes down just 0.1% that is a lot of heat that the earth won't be receiving. Mankind may indeed have the ability to produce greenhouse gases that effect our weather, but data from fluctuations in solar maximums and solar minimums show that the sun has way more effect on the earth's climate than scientists during the 20th century thought possible.

Now that we are in the 21st century and our knowledge of "space weather" has increased we now know that the sun effects the earth's climate more than any other single factor.

This doesn't mean we should be polluting like crazy however. Quite the opposite. We need to stop polluting and start focusing on how to make enough food to survive future events of global cooling - including the one which has already started and will really show itself by 2019.

Now you might be thinking everything above is pure hogwash and that global warming is the reality we live in, but you're really just being stubborn and clinging to your beliefs. Examine the evidence. Make up your own mind. Think for yourself.

Speaking as someone who was sucked in by the IPCC into thinking global warming was a reality (and it was, during the 1970s, 1980s and early 1990s and the global warming pause of 1993 to 2004) I have since changed my mind on this matter because I have examined the evidence of global cooling, the science of solar cycles between maximums and minimums is solid, and the earth is due for a new grand solar minimum. The period from 2019 to 2030 will be one of the coldest periods we have ever experienced, but it will be nothing like what we experience between 2030 and 2063, a forecasted period in which solar production from the sun will be at a grand modern minimum.

Let me put this in perspective for you. During a normal solar minimum the global average temperature (GAT) drops between 0.3 and 0.8 degrees Celsius over a 5 year period. It is an average drop of 0.11 degrees per year. During a grand solar minimum that lasts 33 years we should expect the global average temperature to drop 3.63 degrees.

Now you might think, big deal, 3.63 degrees doesn't sound so bad but you are forgetting that is the average. Those few degrees is enough to build huge glaciers, cause snow in tropical regions, and devastating famines and losses of food production - resulting in millions around the globe dying of starvation.

Truth be told global warming would actually be nice in comparison. Global warming comes with increased food production, stable governments and a growing populace. The Little Ice Age from 1400 to 1900 saw famines, governments rise and fall, and economic chaos. The same is true if you look back historically at other solar grand minimums. Great empires are broken easily under the weight of cold-weather-induced famines.


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